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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

The debate on Renda Brasil and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Sep 2020

Senator Márcio Bittar (MDB-AC), rapporteur of the budget, may present a proposal creating a social program to replace the emergency aid payments. On Saturday, September 26, electoral advertising begins ahead of the November municipal elections. This week's Talking Points * Evaluation of po...

Unemployment lines at the INSS are challenging for the government
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Sep 2020

The increase in unemployment lines and the accumulation of lawsuits at the National Institute of Social Security (INSS), a consequence of specialty doctors who refuse to return to in-person work, are putting pressure on the government in the social arena. Today, the Institute of Brazilian Geograp...

Bolsonaro authorizes the creation of a new social program, says Budget Rapporteur
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Sep 2020

Senator Márcio Bittar (MDB-AC), Rapporteur for the 2021 Budget, said on September 16 that he was authorized by Jair Bolsonaro to create a new social program to replace Renda Brasil. The previous day, Bolsonaro had said that the discussions would be suspended until 2022 due to differences in the s...

New conflicts between Bolsonaro and the economic team do not threaten Guedes’s position
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Sep 2020

President Jair Bolsonaro reacted strongly after the Special Finance Secretary of the Ministry of the Economy, Waldery Rodrigues stated in an interview that pensions could be frozen to finance the Renda Brasil program. Through a video posted on Twitter, Bolsonaro said that his government “is forbi...

Bolsonaro’s popularity reaches 39%, poll shows
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Sep 2020

President Jair Bolsonaro’s popularity is increasing. According to the XP/Ipespe poll, published yesterday, the government’s positive ratings (great/good) reached 39%, surpassing the bad/very bad ratings (36%). The regular rating, in turn, was 24%. This is the first time since May of last year ...

Paulo Guedes’s complex formula and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Sep 2020

This is the final week for political parties to define candidates and alliances ahead of the November municipal elections. In congress, a session that had been scheduled to analyze presidential vetoes, including payroll tax exemptions and sanitation, was cancelled. In the economy, we highlight th...

According to the Secretariat of Economic Policy, services need to grow by 17% to reach pre-COVID levels
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Sep 2020

The service sector, the main employer in the country, still needs to grow by 17% to reach pre-pandemic levels, according to a study published by the Secretariat of Economic Policy. According to the Secretariat, growth in the service sector has not been comparable to the other sectors. The ser...

Guedes minimizes differences with Maia and shows optimism
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Sep 2020

During his participation in a video conference today, Minister of the Economy Paulo Guedes, sought to minimize his differences with the President of the Lower House, Rodrigo Maia (DEM-RJ). According to Guedes, his “misalignment” with Maia is “natural” in light of their differences over the debate...

Agreement to overturn veto on exemption from payroll tax
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Sep 2020

Today, the leader of the government in Congress, Senator Eduardo Gomes (MDB-TO), told the newspaper Valor Econômico that an agreement is underway to overturn, next week, President Jair Bolsonaro’s veto of the extension on the exemption from payroll tax in 17 sectors. The exemption will be exte...

Priority reform proposals have been submitted and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Sep 2020

This will be a shorter week due to this week's holiday. In Congress, expectation surrounds the vote on presidential vetoes. Minister Luiz Fux takes over as president of the Federal Supreme Court, replacing Minister Dias Toffoli. In the economy, we highlight the release of the August IPCA. This...

Government withdraws request for urgent status for the Tax Reform proposal
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Sep 2020

Today, September 4, the government withdrew its request for urgent status for the Tax Reform proposal it submitted to Congress. If the request for urgent status (submitted on July 21 along with the proposal) were granted, the text would block the agenda next week, preventing the Lower House from ...

The government details its Administrative Reform proposal
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 03 Sep 2020

Today, September 3, the federal government formally submitted to Congress the Proposed Amendment to the Constitution (PEC) on Administrative Reform. The text proposes a series of changes in the rules of civil service, such as prohibiting the compulsory retirement of civil servants as a form of pu...

Bolsonaro’s popularity reaches 39%
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Sep 2020

The Exame/Ideia Big Data poll, conducted between August 24 and 31, shows that Jair Bolsonaro’s positive ratings (great/good) have reached 39%. The negative ratings (bad/very bad), on the other hand, accounted for 39%, and the regular rating adds up to 20%. According to Big Data, the poll reflects...

Meeting with allies should confirm a new rate of emergency aid of R$ 300
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Aug 2020

President Jair Bolsonaro has a meeting with leaders of the governing coalition in Congress tomorrow, September 1, to deal with the extension of emergency aid program until the end of the year. The new value of each payment is expected to be R$ 300. So far, the government has paid five installment...

Paulo Guedes’s future in the government
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Aug 2020

The government will send the 2021 Budget proposal to Congress. Legislators may also analyze vetoes, including those dealing with expansion of the emergency aid payments, payroll tax exemptions and the sanitation framework. On Monday, August 31, the period of party conventions begins to select can...

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