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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

Getting Used to the Unpredictable
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 15 Dec 2016

For the first time in many decades a federal minister was arrested on a bribe accusation in Russia. Although the anti-corruption campaign has been going on for quite a while, its overall imitative nature created a lasting impression that top level government officials were immune as long as they ...

Cautious Celebration
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 14 Nov 2016

Donald Trump’s victory is seen as a chance to improve relations Trump’s victory in the US Presidential election came as a somewhat pleasant surprise for the Kremlin, but there is no solidified position regarding what it might mean for Moscow. Shortly before the election, Russia’s leadership wa...

Looking Outside
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 08 Nov 2016

Russia’s largest naval group, with an aircraft carrier, nuclear missile cruiser and other cruise missile ships, which traveled along the European shores to the Eastern Mediterranean, can hardly make a difference in the Syrian conflict from a military standpoint. Although powerful and somewhat cap...

Re-Elected
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 14 Oct 2016

The United Russia party won an unprecedented 343 out of 450 seats in the lower chamber of the Russian parliament. More than two hundred of those seats were secured according to the first-past-the-post system. Other parties represented in parliament saw their number of seats cut by 2-4 times. Unpr...

New Faces from Within
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 13 Sep 2016

Head of the Presidential Administration and long-term Putin’s trusted friend Sergei Ivanov stepped down to be replaced by his former deputy Anton Vaino, who is younger and is not a Putin’s friend. That continues the overall trend of Putin gradually replacing his old trusted friends in key governm...

Security Trumps Economics
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 14 Aug 2016

Changes in key regional and federal level appointments, and the replacement of three regional governors with former security service officers -- two of them President Vladimir Putin’s former bodyguards – deepen the trend toward increased law enforcement influence in government. They also show tha...

Improving the Context
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 15 Jul 2016

One of Russia’s most progressive governors was publicly arrested based on corruption accusations in what was in fact a conflict between several security services and the Presidential Administration clans. The carefully planned, staged and publicized arrest shows that the rules of the game have ch...

Starting the Campaign
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 15 Jun 2016

The United Russia Party hosted primaries ahead of the September 2016 parliamentary elections. The primaries will result in significant changes in the party nomination list because the current list of party members was put together by the previous leadership of the Presidential Administration, and...

On Guard
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 13 May 2016

President Putin put an end to a long-lasting rivalry between law enforcement agencies by dissolving some and creating a new federal service, the National Guard, which will be in charge of all internal troops. The new agency that will have control over almost all armed units inside the country is ...

Imagining a Victory
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 11 Apr 2016

Russia’s announcement of a troop withdrawal from Syria after an alleged victory is both a domestic and international move. The domestic audience can now celebrate victory and feel relieved that the campaign will not last forever. Meanwhile, internationally, it sends a signal that Russia is willin...

The Grand Chess Game
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 11 Mar 2016

The Russian leadership continues to use Syria as a bargaining chip in the country’s relations with the West. Although raising the stakes could be dangerous for Russia, so far the country has been largely successful in leveraging its military presence in the country and close relations with Syria ...

Old Actors In New Roles
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 11 Feb 2016

Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov has become extremely vocal in demonstrating his support of President Putin and has even directly threatened his political opponents, in the midst of suspicions of his connection to the murder of former deputy prime minister Boris Nemtsov. Kadyrov’s active involvement...

Back to Issues at Home
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 11 Jan 2016

President Putin demonstrated his willingness to protect team members, especially under pressure from opposition. A top level law enforcement official’s family turned out to be involved in multiple illegal activities, and the issue was brought up publicly to the President himself, yet there have b...

Never Tired of Fighting
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 10 Dec 2015

Russia’s involvement in the Syrian conflict increased dramatically following a terrorist attack that killed more than two hundred Russians on an airplane. However, the increased stakes make the Russian government more dependent on the outcome of the conflict rather than increasing the probability...

A New War to Fight
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 09 Nov 2015

Russia’s engagement in Syria gives it a first-mover advantage in terms of global political bargaining. However, in order to use this chip, Moscow needs a successful outcome from the operation because leaving Syria without a success could damage the leadership’s reputation. That puts the Kremlin i...

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