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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 3 -
Brazil Economics databank May 15
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Central America databank May 9
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Chile databank Apr 4
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 3
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 15
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 17
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Hungary databank Apr 18
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India databank Apr 22
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Mexico databank Mar 28
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Panama databank Feb 2
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Peru databank Mar 27
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Philippines databank May 9
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Russia Economics databank May 16
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South Africa databank May 3
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Turkey databank Mar 6
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Ukraine databank Feb 12
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Uruguay databank Mar 27
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Venezuela databank May 6
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA: ECONOMIC UPSWINGS AND POL...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Gulf weekly: Lebanon government, Saudi bond, MBS/Bezos spat
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 24 Jan 2020
The weekly is a skimmable summary of key developments by country, overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include: * Lebanon formed a government of technocrats, but it doesn’t yet inspire much confidence. * Saudi issued a $5bn bond. * Allegations have resurface...
Gulf weekly: Oman’s new sultan, Kuwait’s budget and Iran’s woes
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 17 Jan 2020
The weekly is a skimmable summary of key developments by country, overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include: * Sultan Haitham succeded in Oman and was well received by markets; we are cautiously optimistic that he will decentralize power and implement overd...
IRAN: Admission of guilt for downing plane is a risk-off development
GULF COUNTRIES · In Brief · 11 Jan 2020
For three days, Iran insisted that the crash of Flight 752 to Ukraine on Wednesday was due to mechanical error, despite the coincidence of it happening just hours of Iran’s counterstrike on US bases in Iraq. This was maintained despite mounting evidence and accusations from Canada’s prime ministe...
OMAN: Sultan Haitham should be well prepared to address fiscal challenges
GULF COUNTRIES · In Brief · 11 Jan 2020
Oman's bizarre and untested succession system, set up by Qaboos to reduce the risk of rivals (after he’d deposed his father), was supposed to involve three days of deliberation by the Royal Family Council, during the period of official mourning, and only if they could not agree would two letters ...
OMAN: Succession will be credit-positive
GULF COUNTRIES · In Brief · 10 Jan 2020
A month ago, when Sultan Qaboos checked out early from a specialist hospital in Belgium we said it seemed likely that it had been determined that his cancer was untreatable and he had returned to Oman to die. Sadly, this prediction proved accurate, despite state TV claiming that he was in a stabl...
Gulf weekly: Iran counterstrike, Kuwait and Bahrain GDP data
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 10 Jan 2020
The weekly is a skimmable summary of key developments by country, overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include: * Iran’s limited counterstrike on US forces in Iraq seemed to be a signal of de-escalation. * Iraq’s parliament voted to expel US troops. * MBS’s ...
Limited Iranian counterstrike seems credit positive for GCC
GULF COUNTRIES · In Brief · 08 Jan 2020
Soon after midnight, Baghdad time, January 8, Iran fired over a dozen ballistic missiles at two of the main bases hosting US forces in Iraq. The missiles struck the main al-Asad base in the western Anbar region and another base near Erbil in the Kurdistan region. Initial reports, including from T...
Gulf weekly: US assassinates Iranian general, Saudi GDP contracts
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 03 Jan 2020
The weekly is a skimmable summary of key developments by country, overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include: * Saudi GDP contracted by -0.5% y/y in Q3, a base effect due to high oil output a year before, but non-oil growth picked up to 4.3% (a five-year hig...
US killing of Iranian general could re-escalate Gulf tensions
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 03 Jan 2020
Oil prices spiked by $2 after a US drone strike in Iraq assassinated one of Iran’s most powerful generals. The situation is evolving rapidly and puts at risk the Saudi-driven cycle of de-escalation that has seen an apparent pause in attacks on oil interests in the Gulf since September. There may ...
Outlook for the Gulf in 2020 (and review of 2019)
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 03 Jan 2020
This report provides a summary of the key trends and events in the Gulf in 2019, including a review of some of our calls during the year, and outlines some of the key developments to watch for in 2020.
Gulf weekly: Khashoggi trial concludes, Divided Zone oil restart is agreed
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 27 Dec 2019
The weekly is a skimmable summary of key developments by country, overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. As of today, we are shifting to a Friday publication schedule in an effort to provide swifter coverage than our previous Sunday schedule. Headlines include: * The tria...
SAUDI: Khashoggi verdict won't mitigate criticisms that are discouraging FDI
GULF COUNTRIES · In Brief · 23 Dec 2019
Sentences were issued today by the Saudi court trying those accused by the public prosecutor of involvement in the October 2018 killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi. A brief statement from the public prosecutor said that, of the 11 Saudi nationals put on trial, 5 were sentenced to death fo...
Gulf weekly: Kuwaiti cabinet, Qatari budget, Qaboos concerns, Aramco stock decline
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 22 Dec 2019
The weekly is a skimmable summary of key developments by country, overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include: * Aramco joined the MSCI EM Index but its price is down -8.8% from its peak. * Qatar budgets a 1.9% spending increase and is reviving projects like t...
Gulf weekly: Aramco hits $2trn, Saudi budget unveiled & Qatar dispute thaws
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 15 Dec 2019
The weekly is a skimmable summary of key developments by country, overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include: * Aramco nominally achieved MBS’s magical $2trn valuation on its second day trading. * The Saudi 2020 budget envisages the deficit rising to 6.4% of ...
Gulf weekly: OPEC cuts, Aramco IPOs, Qatar hosts rivals and Qaboos has cancer tests
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 08 Dec 2019
The weekly is a skimmable summary of key developments by country, overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include: * Aramco raised $25.6bn in its IPO, but foreign investors (mainly Gulf SWF) only provided $2bn. * Qatar’s Emir was invited to the Gulf Summit in Ri...