Services
GLOBAL COVERAGE
- ARGENTINA
- BRAZIL ECONOMICS
- BRAZIL POLITICS
- CAUCASUS / CENTRAL ASIA
- CENTRAL AMERICA
- CHILE
- CHINA
- CHINA ADVISORY
- CHINA FINANCIAL
- COLOMBIA
- DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
- ECUADOR
- GULF COUNTRIES
- HUNGARY
- INDIA
- INDONESIA
- ISRAEL
- JAMAICA / BAHAMAS
- KAZAKHSTAN
- MEXICO
- NIGERIA
- PANAMA
- PERU
- PHILIPPINES
- POLAND
- RUSSIA ECONOMICS
- RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS
- SOUTH AFRICA
- TURKEY
- UKRAINE
- VENEZUELA
Events
Databanks
-
Argentina databank Apr 30
-
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
-
Central America databank May 1
-
Chile databank Apr 7
-
China databank Mar 21
-
Colombia databank Apr 28
-
Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
-
Ecuador databank Apr 22
-
Gulf Countries databank May 9
-
Hungary databank Apr 22
-
India databank Apr 28
-
Mexico databank Mar 25
-
Panama databank Jan 28
-
Peru databank Apr 28
-
Philippines databank May 8
-
Poland databank Apr 29
-
Russia Economics databank May 12
-
South Africa databank May 6
-
Turkey databank Apr 24
-
Ukraine databank May 12
-
Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - PANAMA IN FOCUS: US RELATIONS, CANAL STRATEGY AND FI...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
States are criticizing the VAT measure of the Tax Reform proposal, the STF should vote on the case regarding taxing the operating income of financial institutions, and the CPMI is expected to vote on invitation requests
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Jun 2023
Ten states took a stand against the new Value Added Tax (VAT). According to the guidelines approved by the Working Group of the House, a federal and a state VAT will be created. In the state VAT, which will be the Tax on Goods and Services (IBS), there would be shared management between states an...
BSP cuts reserve requirement ratio
PHILIPPINES · In Brief · 09 Jun 2023
The BSP today announced reductions in banks’ reserve requirement ratios (RRR) to be implemented starting June 30. As we had expected, the reduction will coincide with the expiration of a pandemic response measure that allowed loans to small firms to be counted as part of reserves. The BSP emphasi...
Russia: a brief market watch
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 09 Jun 2023
Some acceleration of inflation during the last week to 0.21% w-o-w caused some nervousness among investors. Given the previous moderately hawkish rhetoric of the CBR, many didn’t rule out that the regulator could have raised the key rate today. We didn’t see the necessity to do that, as overall C...
South Africa’s current account deficit narrows in Q1-2023
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 08 Jun 2023
The latest current account data released by the South African Reserve Bank shows that, during the first quarter of 2023, while South Africa’s current account recorded its fourth consecutive deficit since Q2-2022, the deficit was smaller than that of the preceding quarter. The Q1-2023 deficit narr...
Yesss! CPI-inflation reported sharply down in May
HUNGARY · In Brief · 08 Jun 2023
The headline rates were -0.4% mom, 21.5% yoy, the latter down from 24% yoy in April, and the first time since November 2020 that consumer prices fell on a monthly basis. Core inflation was a significantly less impressive +0.5% mom, but the year-on-year rate still fell markedly, to 22.8% in May fr...
Finland expels 9 Russian diplomats
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 07 Jun 2023
On June 7 Finland said that the diplomats were working in an intelligence capacity. Finland said this was a breach of the Vienna Convention. The Finnish Intelligence Service assessed the diplomats to be undercover intelligence officers and said the expulsions would seriously impair Russian intell...
Russian political/pandemic update: crises as usual
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · Report · 07 Jun 2023
It looks as though the mood of the Russian society was probably somehow shaken by drone attacks that occurred in several cities, including Moscow. Apart from that, May was a relatively quiet month for the majority of Russians (except for those living in the regions close to the Ukrainian borders)...
Lula is considering making changes to the ministerial team, the Working Group on Tax Reform approved the guidelines of the rapporteur’s report, and tomorrow, June 8, is a federal holiday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Jun 2023
Some changes in the ministerial team should soon take place. The goal is to improve the relationship with Congress. The ministries of Tourism and Communications will likely be changed. There are rumors in the market about Fernando Haddad replacing Rui Costa as Chief of Staff. Yesterday, the Worki...
Growing pains
PHILIPPINES · Forecast · 07 Jun 2023
With his high popularity ratings intact, President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. steps into his second year in office with another advantage: the business sector has become more at ease with his leadership style. However, he will have a tougher challenge growing the economy. Locally, GDP growth has slo...
The Federal budget in balance in April as spending moderated
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 07 Jun 2023
The Ministry of Finance reported that in 5M23, the federal budget deficit was almost the same as in 4M23 (R3.4 trln), implying that in April, it was balanced (in fact, there was a tiny surplus). Spending moderated last month as the ministry spent slightly over R2.0 trln. Average monthly spending ...
Industrial output fell further markedly in April
HUNGARY · In Brief · 07 Jun 2023
Industrial output shrank by 2.5% mom, 5.6% yoy in April, on seasonally and day-adjusted basis, following a 3.8% yoy decrease in Q1. This marks a downtrend that has been there since an all-time peak of output in September 2022. The level of output was 8.6% lower in April than at the September peak...
A moderate recovery of the South African economy avoids technical recession during Q1-2023; progress seen in increasing electricity generation capacity
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 06 Jun 2023
Real quarterly GDP grew by 0.4% in the first quarter of 2023. This was following a contraction of 1.1% q/q during Q4-2022 and an expansion of 1.8% q/q during the third quarter of 2022. Indeed, today’s GDP print showcases that the South African economy has reverted to pre-pandemic anemic growth pa...
Kahovka Dam blast: If you lose, destroy everything
UKRAINE · In Brief · 06 Jun 2023
On the night of June 5th, the Russians destroyed the Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant dam. It is difficult for me to comment on how this incident might impact the ongoing counteroffensive. There may be some adjustments in plans and potential delays as a result. Crossing the Dnipro River to the ...
Lula signed the MP on the Desenrola debt renegotiation program, the rapporteur on the fiscal framework is negotiating changes to the text, and the report on Tax Reform is expected to propose a dual VAT
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Jun 2023
President Lula finally signed the Desenrola provisional measure (MP), and it was published in the Official Federal Gazette today. The program will begin in July and will include debts registered up to December 31 of last year. The rapporteur for the new fiscal framework in the Senate, Omar Aziz (...
Digesting Boric's marathon speech
CHILE · In Brief · 06 Jun 2023
President Gabriel Boric delivered his second state of the union speech last week. These speeches tend to offer summaries of accomplishments and lists of promises for the future, often sprinkled with figures and statistics. There was some of that on 1 June – certainly a lot of promises. But it see...