Services

NEWS FLASH

UPCOMING WEBINAR - VENEZUELA POLITICAL BRIEFING...

Learn More

COUNTRY INSIGHTS

The Third Plenum and US-China relations
CHINA ADVISORY · Report · 24 Jul 2024

The Third Plenum occurs every five years and sets the tone for economic policy for the future. This year’s Third Plenum has been quite dull, with the leadership issuing a policy document that was a grab bag of Xi Jinping’s main talking points. It was also almost over-shadowed by continuing rumors...

Romanian jets scrambled due to drone attacks in Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 24 Jul 2024

On July 24 the fighter aircraft flew because the Russian drones came within 300 meters of the Romanian border with Ukraine. Fragments of destroyed Russian drones have fallen on Romania many times since the war began in 2022.Romania is a NATO and EU country. It hosts a major US Air Force base.Almo...

On the road to July 28
VENEZUELA · Report · 24 Jul 2024

As of now, elections will likely take place. The focus shifts to the government’s tactics blocking opposition witnesses, possible disruptions on election day (electricity or communication systems failures that the government "alerts" as a possibility of opposition sabotage), practices that deter ...

Lula announced he is developing a proposal to join China’s Belt and Road Initiative, Congress is pressuring the government to address expenditure, and the first phase of the Voa Brasil program begins today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Jul 2024

Yesterday, President Lula announced that Brazil is developing a proposal to join the Belt and Road Initiative, China’s infrastructure and investment project that already includes around 150 countries. In Congress, there is pressure for the government to address expenditure, not just revenue issue...

A review of the economy as the BJP begins its third term
INDIA · Report · 24 Jul 2024

The BJP has begun its third term, and this is a good time to review the overall state of the economy. There are important debates taking place, with concerns about measurement of GDP and employment as seen in the official data. We are able to pull together an internally consistent picture drawing...

Changing things so everything stays the same
PANAMA · In Brief · 23 Jul 2024

After the May 1 elections, in which the independent caucus won the most seats (23/70) but not enough to form a majority (36/70), the selection of the National Assembly committees took place, which are crucial in shaping the country’s political agenda. The outcome was a resounding victory for the ...

Analysts proved right, the base rate was reduced by 25bps today
HUNGARY · In Brief · 23 Jul 2024 · 1 response

The base rate went to 6.75%, in conformity with analysts' pre-meeting near-consensus, which we reported about last night (in CEST terms).At the usual post-meeting 'background conversation' (roughly the same as a press conference), Mr. Virág said that at today's meeting, the two options discussed ...

Why is it so hard for China to boost domestic consumption?
CHINA FINANCIAL · Report · 23 Jul 2024

Special points to highlight in this report: * The consumption share of GDP is so low in China that for it to comprise a more normal level, equivalent to that of other very low-consuming economies, requires that in the future, the consumption share of GDP growth be extraordinarily high. For ex...

The Ministry of Finance confirmed compliance with the spending limit of the fiscal framework, the government continues to discuss budget issues, and the Tax Reform regulation bill will be sent to the Senate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Jul 2024

The Ministries of Finance and Planning confirmed yesterday the containment of R$ 15 billion in discretionary expenses in this year's budget to comply with the spending limit of the new fiscal framework. However, Congress is starting to signal that the government needs to change its agenda. Yester...

Honey, I Doubled the Target
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 23 Jul 2024

The federal government has revised its primary deficit projection for 2024 from R$ 27.5 billion (0.2% of GDP) to R$ 61.4 billion (0.5% of GDP), despite suspending R$ 15 billion in expenditures. The deterioration of expected performance is partly due to revenue shortfalls, but mainly due to the...

Tax revenues and budgetary spending lag behind amid widening deficit
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 23 Jul 2024

The Ministry of Finance published budget execution statistics for 1H24, and the data show that despite delayed spending, deficits of the consolidated and republican budgets are widening amid suppressed tax revenues. Excessively strong tenge still drags the latter. In 1H24, the consolidated budget...

MPC: Prepare for a July inflation blip
TURKEY · In Brief · 23 Jul 2024 · 1 response

The Monetary Policy Committee kept the policy rate (one-week repo) unchanged at 50% (simple) at today’s meeting, in line with expectations. The statement was almost identical to the previous one except for a new introductory paragraph, which gives a heads up of sorts for the anticipated jump in m...

Ukrainian Foreign Minister in Beijing
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 23 Jul 2024

On July 23 Dymtro Kuleba held talks with Chinese officials. He will spend three days in China, which is a measure of how much importance Ukraine attaches to this diplomatic effort. Ukraine recently said that China could play a vital role in ending the conflict. It is hard to see what Kyiv can off...

Analysts expect a 25 bps base rate cut at tomorrow's (for Asian readers: today's) monthly rate-setting meeting
HUNGARY · In Brief · 22 Jul 2024

According to Portfolio.hu's usual analyst poll, nine out of eleven participants expect that the Monetary Council will reduce the base rate by 25 bps, to 6.75%, at tomorrow's meeting. The remaining two analysts predicted no change for the base rate in July. For end-2024, the median analyst expecta...

Reality check
CHILE · Report · 22 Jul 2024

The Central Bank's early-year optimism is losing steam. After progress in January and February, the next three consecutive IMACEC readings showed a negative trend. The overall negative effect of the IMACEC is particularly evident in the industrial sector. While the manufacturing sector declines, ...

Copyright 2024 GlobalSource Partners. All rights reserved.