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UPCOMING WEBINAR - CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA: ECONOMIC UPSWINGS AND POL...

Azerbaijan and Armenia negotiate in Brussels as Baku criticizes Moscow
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 16 Jul 2023

On July 15 the President of Azerbaijan met the Armenian Prime Minister. The EU facilitated the talks. This is the 6th time they have met since 2021. The President of the European Council asked the two leaders to return to Brussels in the fall of the 2023. The US had also hosted talks between them...

Wagner is and is not
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 16 Jul 2023

On July 15 Ukraine said that Wagner is in Belarus. Belarus claims that Wagner troops are training the Belarusian Army. It was reported by Belarusian oppositionists on July 14 that 60 Wagner vehicles arrived in Belarus. But there were 25,000 Wagner troops in June 2023. The June Mutiny led to the a...

Ukraine admits its counter-offensive is not succeeding
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 15 Jul 2023

On July 14 the head of the Presidential Administration said Ukraine's soldiers are not making rapid progress. Andriy Yermak acknowledged that the battles are very tough. However, he added that Western allies are not asking Ukraine to speed up. Ukraine still has not committed most of its troops to...

Putin hints he may end the Black Sea Grain Initiative
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 15 Jul 2023

On July 13 he said that no concessions have been made to Russia about the BSGI. The BSGI was signed in 2022 and has allowed Ukraine to export 32 million tons of grain as well as sunflower oil. The BSGI expires on July 18. Turkey was instrumental in getting Ukraine and Russia to sign the BSGI. The...

Drone attack on Kyiv does minimal damage
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 13 Jul 2023

On July 12 Kyiv was attacked by 11 Russian drones for the second night in a row. Ukraine said it destroyed all 11. No casualties were reported in Kyiv.On July 11 Kyiv was attacked by 26 drones and Ukraine claimed to have shot them all down.On July 12 in another city 2 civilians were wounded by th...

NATO Summit does not set a date for Ukrainian membership
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 12 Jul 2023

On July 11 NATO met in Lithuania. The host is a former Soviet state, which is symbolically important. The President of Lithuania was just elected in June 2023. President Nauseda is an outspoken advocate of Ukraine's cause. Zelensky was invited to attend. It is very rare for non-NATO leaders to be...

Russia tries to persuade emigrants to come home
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 12 Jul 2023

In 2022 over 700,000 Russians emigrated. There were others who left and have already returned to Russia. Most of those who left the country were young men seeking to evade conscription. The men who emigrated are mostly highly educated. They can easily work abroad and are more likely to be anti-wa...

Uzbek President re-elected
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 10 Jul 2023

On July 9 an election took place, and the result came on July 10. As expected, Shavkat Mirziyoyev was decisively re-elected. He will begin his third term. He took office in 2016. His term will last 7 years and he will be allowed to seek another one in 2030. Turnout was said by the election commis...

Russia bombards Ukraine as both sides face shortages
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 08 Jul 2023

On July 8 Ukraine said 8 or more people were killed when Russia struck a housing area in Donetsk with rockets. Russia maintains it only targets military sites. However, Russia's equipment is faulty, and it could simply be missing its target a lot. Ukraine's counter-offensive is in the south of th...

Zelensky visits Black Sea island to mark 500 days of war
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 08 Jul 2023

On July 8 he made a surprise to Snake Island. The 700 m by 700 m island is crucial in ensuring control of the eastern part of the Black Sea. A Russian warship famously asked its Ukrainian defenders to surrender on the first day of the war and they replied, ''Go F*** yourselves!'' Snake Island was...

Zelensky in Istanbul
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 07 Jul 2023

On July 7 the Ukrainian President met his Turkish counterpart. Zelensky had been in the Czech Republic on July 6 to thank the Czech Republic for arming Ukraine. Putin's spokesman said that Russia shall follow the talks with a keen eye. He said that Russia really treasures its relationship with Tu...

China sets up observation station in Tajikistan
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 05 Jul 2023

On June 16 Chinese media reported that the station is for climate and environmental monitoring. The Tajik media has not said anything about it, which indicates that the government does not want people to know about it. The station is thought to be part of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The s...

Drone attacks on Moscow Airport
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 04 Jul 2023

On July 4, 5 drones near Moscow Vnukovo Airport forced it to close for a few hours in the morning. There were no casualties. Ukraine unusually commented on the reports and hinted that it had sent the drones. This is worrying for Russia. This war was supposed to make Russia safer.  On July 4 Russi...

Wagner recruitment suspended
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 03 Jul 2023

The Russian private military company has been a vital component of the war effort in Ukraine. At one stage it had 50,000 fighters. Wagner announced the suspension of recruitment on its Telegram page. Private companies were required to sign contracts with the Ministry of Defense by July 2. Wagner ...

Essential CIS Politics: July 2023
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 03 Jul 2023

* Wagner Group seized Rostov but agreed not to march on Moscow as charges against Prigozhin were dropped. * The Ukrainian counter-offensive has made minor progress. * African peace envoys visited Kyiv and Moscow but did not bring peace. * Ukraine and Russia continue to bombard each o...