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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 13 -
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 12
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 16
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank May 12
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank May 12
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA: FISCAL PRESSURES AND POLITICAL SHIFTS...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
New increase in the monetary policy rate
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 01 Nov 2022
Yesterday the Central Bank increased the monetary policy rate by 25 basis points, going from 8.25% to 8.50% per year. The new rate for the permanent facility for liquidity expansion (1-day repos) is 9.00% per year, while the new interest-bearing deposit rate (Overnight) is 8.00% per year. The Cen...
Bolsonaro is expected to address the results of the election today, Lula begins negotiations to build his ministerial team, and truck drivers are still blocking highways to protest Bolsonaro’s defeat
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Nov 2022
President Jair Bolsonaro should quote the Armed Forces’ report on the electoral process. He will not claim fraud, but he is expected to criticize some decisions of the Superior Electoral Court against his campaign. Some names for Lula's ministerial team are already being reviewed. The next Minist...
Russian macro: The 2023 economic outlook increasingly uncertain as GDP contraction is moderate in 2022
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · Report · 01 Nov 2022
In mid-summer, it became clear that Russia’s GDP could contract less this year compared to the earlier thinking - accounting for the magnitude of the geopolitical shock the country has faced (or chosen). The effect turned out to be less significant than was considered right after the start of the...
Politics: Democracy under siege by the presidential electoral reform proposal
MEXICO · Report · 01 Nov 2022
President López Obrador’s governing project is proving increasingly costly for the country in practically every sphere, including security, health, education, the environment and others. Through the first four years of Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s presidency, there has been a concerted effort to...
Economic data confirm our projections for 2022 and 2023. The financial deficit of the defined benefit pension system is the most pressing issue of public policy in the next 18 months.
PANAMA · Report · 31 Oct 2022
The first half of 2022 presented critical messages. First, the comparison of GDP growth in the first six months of 2022 with the same period in 2021 (11.8%) confirms that the economy continues to proceed along a path to recovery. However, activity contracted by 0.5% in the first half of 2022 vis-...
Economics: Considerable risks from the revised Pacic anti-inflation accord, with scant effect expected in prices
MEXICO · Report · 31 Oct 2022
This past October 19, the federal government formally decreed a second iteration of its Pacic Anti-inflation and Cost of Living Accord, known as "Pacic 2", with the corresponding decree's being published in the federal daily gazette. In addition to continuing to exempt selected goods from import ...
Russia is taking out Ukraine's energy infrastructure
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 31 Oct 2022
On October 31 Russia said it had launched many successful missile and bomb attacks on power stations. Ukraine confirmed this. Before October 21 over a third of Ukraine's energy production had been put out of operation. If attacks continue at this rate Ukraine will lose all energy by the end of No...
Growth is slowly recovering
CHINA · Report · 31 Oct 2022
Growth is slowly recovering, but pressure looms. In Q3, GDP rose 3.9% y/y, up 3.5 pps from Q2, mainly increased by infrastructure investment. Industrial output grew 4.8% y/y in Q3, up 4.1 pps from Q2. In particular, it rose 6.3% y/y in September, up 2.1 pps from August, leading the first three qu...
Monetary Policy, Inflation and Effects on Economic Activity
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 31 Oct 2022
At its last meeting, the COPOM kept the SELIC rate at 13.75% a year. In the communiqué about this decision, the committee members repeated the alerts expressed after the meeting in September, regarding the uncertainties over the fiscal framework, the high likelihood that the output gap was narrow...
Another rate hike
INDONESIA · Report · 31 Oct 2022 · 1 response
For the past several months, Indonesia's economy has been hit by rising inflation. The Central Board of Statistics reported early this month on the Consumers Price Index for the month of September 2022, which registered inflation of 1.17%, a relatively high monthly rate. Inflation was broad based...
EU chief tells Central Asia he wants better relations
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 31 Oct 2022
On October 27 the President of the European Council was in Kazakhstan. He said the EU wants to cooperate more with Central Asia. He used his visit to lacerate the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Charles Michel praised Kazakhstan as a partner. It was Michel's first visit to the country. Michel said t...
Russia ends mobilization
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 31 Oct 2022
On October 28 Russia said it was no longer calling up reservists. In September 2022 Russia called up 460,000 reservists. The Defense Ministry said its target has been reached. The mobilization was supposed to be of men aged 18-35 who had undergone military training already. Even Putin admitted th...
Lula was elected the next President of Brazil, Bolsonaro has not yet addressed the results, and truck drivers organize a blockade of the highways to protest Bolsonaro’s defeat
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Oct 2022
With the tightest result in the history of Brazil, former President Lula will return to the Presidency of the Republic after beating President Jair Bolsonaro by a margin of 2.1 million votes. Now, the market is anxious to find out who will comprise Lula's ministerial team, especially the Minister...
Israel goes to elections tomorrow
ISRAEL · Report · 31 Oct 2022
* Despite political instability in Israel, fiscal responsibility is expected to be maintained. * Growth in Q3 appears to be slowing as exports declined and private consumption growth moderated. * The labor market remains tight, but unemployment ticked higher in September.
Israel goes to elections tomorrow
ISRAEL · In Brief · 30 Oct 2022
Labor market remains tight, but slightly less Unemployment increased in September slightly to 3.7% (sa) from 3.5% with the number of employed down nearly 28k. On the other hand, the number of job vacancies ticked slightly higher. Growth appears to be decelerating modestly Credit card purchases ...