GlobalSource Partners | Country Insights

On September 28 officials in four Russian occupied districts of Ukraine announced the results of their referendums. They showed an average of 96% in favor of fusion with Russia. The districts are Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, Luhansk and Kherson. However, Russia controls only half of Donetsk. The capita...

The presidential debate will be held today at 10:30 p.m, Bolsonaro’s party published an unofficial audit for electoral process that only 5% of the security issues were covered by the TSE, & the latest polls shows Lula is 10 points ahead of Bolsonaro

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Sep 2022

TV Globo will be holding a debate between the presidential candidates today, at 10:30 p.m. It is the last major event before the first round, which takes place on Sunday (2). After the debate, Lula will attend political events on Friday in three key states. Yesterday, the PL published the results...

The economy continued to successfully adapt in August, but regular shocks may cause serious damage

RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 29 Sep 2022

Rosstat reported that in 8M22, the output of the five basic sectors (industry, agriculture, construction, trade, transport) was down y-o-y by a mere 1.8% and 0.4% in August and 8M22, therefore, indicating that the economy was heading to moderate conduction in 2022 as a whole. Industrial output wa...

Bank Indonesia raises the benchmark rate for a second time

INDONESIA · Report · 28 Sep 2022

For the second meeting in a row, Bank Indonesia raised the benchmark interest rate, this time by 50 basis points. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.25%. This policy was decided during the Monetary Policy meeting of September 21-22, 2022. The first increase of the benchmark rate wa...

Lula remains in the lead in the polls and gave an interview to SBT yesterday, and Bolsonaro held a livestream and called for his voters to show up on Election Day

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Sep 2022

Currently, Lula would receive 50% of the valid vote. Due to the margin of error, it is not possible to say whether the election will have one or two rounds. Variables such as abstention, the movement in favor of a utilitarian voting strategy and the TV Globo debate, scheduled for tomorrow, Septem...

Lyman cauldron: Ukrainian forces develop counteroffensive

UKRAINE · In Brief · 28 Sep 2022

The Ukrainian army broke the front on the east bank of the Oskil River and took Lyman in an operational circle. After a hasty withdrawal from Izyum, Russians entrenched themselves in Lyman and tried to make a stronghold in this town. Russian forces made an attempt to stabilize the front across th...

Kremlin admits mistakes as Russian men flee mobilization

CIS POLITICS · In Brief · 27 Sep 2022

On September 26 Putin's spokesman said that there had been errors by regional governments in the implementation of the mobilization decree. Some ineligible men have been drafted, and this error needs to be corrected. Only men who are under 35 and who have done military training are eligible for ...

Damage caused by Hurricane Fiona exceeds USD373 m

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 27 Sep 2022

Preliminary estimates of the damage caused by Hurricane Fiona exceed USD $373 m. (DOP20 b), according to information provided by President Luis Abinader at a press conference held yesterday. The president reported on the efforts made to reestablish services in the affected areas. In the affected ...

Surprise, surprise: the MNB announced the end of the interest rate hikes, following a 125 bps rate increase today

HUNGARY · In Brief · 27 Sep 2022

Well, this was truly surprising. We wrote about the prospects and analyst expectations yesterday. From that note, it is probably clear that analysts' median view was significantly different from what actually happened. But for a fact, the MNB raised the base rate and all other rates by a uniform ...

The End of the Adjustment Cycle and the Risk Ahead

BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 27 Sep 2022

Last week, the Central Bank announced the end of the monetary tightening cycle, keeping the SELIC rate at 13.75%. In a scenario of high internal and external uncertainty, the COPOM opted for caution, but did not fail to warn about the effects of changes in the fiscal framework. Although the most ...

Two polls on the presidential election were published yesterday, Lula will attend a dinner with businessmen in São Paulo, and former Minister of the STF Joaquim Barbosa recorded a video in support of former President Lula

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Sep 2022

This is the last week before the election. Advertising on radio and TV runs until Thursday, September 29. On that same day, TV Globo will hold the final debate between the candidates for the Presidency of the Republic. So far, all the main candidates are likely to attend. This will be a decisive ...

Economics: Social spending for 2023 to have scant effect on narrowing the social gaps

MEXICO · Report · 27 Sep 2022

The López Obrador government’s spending bill proposal for 2023 is consistent with those of his first three years in that it proposes major increases in the current administration’s priority programs, programs that have revealed zero targeted impact on reducing social gaps. Likewise, significant f...

Slide Presentation: Mexico - Polls and policies

MEXICO · Report · 27 Sep 2022

Access the pdf file of the presentation from the GlobalSource Partners webinar "Mexico: Polls and Policies". Following the latest GEA-Isa political proprietary poll, Mauricio González and Guillermo Valdes discussed the implications of the poll and how Mexico's 2023 budget and economic plan will...

Kazakhstan macro: budget is stable despite amendments as revenue collection is strong

KAZAKHSTAN · Report · 26 Sep 2022

Budget execution statistics in 8M22 show that the country’s fiscal situation remains good enough despite the amended revenues and various shocks Kazakhstan has experienced in recent months. They indicated that the economic situation looks good, as well. Apart from high KZT volatility in 2Q22, the...

The market wants to hear good news - so let us give them some

HUNGARY · In Brief · 26 Sep 2022

Somehow it appears to us that the MNB has made a great deal of improvement in understanding and using psychology at recent times. This time around, it was a statement by vice governor Virág a few days ago, in which he said that among other stuff, the Monetary Council will discuss tomorrow the pro...