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Databanks
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Argentina databank Jul 2 -
Brazil Economics databank Jun 16
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Chile databank May 27
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China databank Mar 21
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India databank Jun 26
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Jun 27
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Philippines databank Jul 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank Jun 16
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South Africa databank Jun 9
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank Jul 7
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA: POLITICAL PASSIONS IN THE...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
In a hurry to please the boss
TURKEY · In Brief · 20 Oct 2022
The CBRT/MPC cut the policy rate (one-week repo) by another 150 bps to 10.5% (simple) today, versus the consensus view of a 100 bps cut. That the cut is deeper should not be all that surprising, however. Since President Erdogan called for lower rates and indicated a single digit rate as the objec...
Gas hub in Turkey
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 20 Oct 2022
On October 19 Turkey announced that it shall create a gas hub with Russia in Turkey. This was reported by a Russian state news agency. President Erdogan said that the EU can obtain Russian gas from a Turkish hub as long as supplies to the EU are disrupted due to the Ukraine Conflict and broken Ba...
Kazakhstan macro: Growth remains moderate as the economic climate is affected by shocks
KAZAKHSTAN · Report · 19 Oct 2022
Kazakhstan’s Bureau of National Statistics reported that the short-term indicator that aggregates activities in industry, agriculture, construction, trade, transport, and communications was up in 9M22 by 3.5% y-o-y. In 8M22, it grew by 3.7% y-o-y, therefore, pointing to some deceleration in Septe...
Putin declares complete martial law in occupied Ukraine, limited version in Moscow
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 19 Oct 2022
On October 19 the president made the announcement. Some war hawks had been agitating for this move for months. Martial law means curfews, military censorship, travel restrictions and residency restrictions. This does not suggest that the war is going well 8 months into the conflict. The Federal C...
Weekly inflation is moderate, inflation y-o-y likely to fall by 100 bps in October
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 19 Oct 2022
Rosstat reported that in seven days ending on October 10, inflation was at 0.03% w-o-w. Inflation MTD reached 0.06%, and the YTD inflation moved to 10.53% on that date. Despite high uncertainty and the tense geopolitical situation, there are no signs that inflation may accelerate significantly. I...
When governments talk, markets react
COLOMBIA · In Brief · 19 Oct 2022 · 1 response
At the beginning of 2022, Colombian Treasury Bills (TES - for its acronym in Spanish) outstanding were close to COP 400 trillion (tn); currently, they are reaching almost COP 450 tn. Hence, the government has issued TES handsomely, continuing a high-sloping trend exhibited since COVID hit the eco...
The latest polls still show a decrease in the distance between Lula and Bolsonaro, Lula will publish a letter to evangelicals today, and the urgent status request in the House for Bill 96/11 on polling institutes is approved
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Oct 2022
According to the poll published recently by PoderData, former President Lula has 48% of intended votes, and President Jair Bolsonaro has 44%, while 5% of voters intend to vote blank or null, and 3% do not know. Today, at 10 a.m., Lula will publish a “Letter to Evangelicals” during an event in São...
Russians angry at draftees' being sent to battle without training or equipment
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 19 Oct 2022
Soldiers have been killed within 10 days of being mobilized. Families have complained that their loved ones have been sent to the front without any refresher training. Most Russian men do a year of army training at the age of 18. Draftees are supposed to be given a 2 week course to bring back the...
Iran to sell more weapons to Russia: Western reports
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 18 Oct 2022
On October 17 the Washington Post said that anonymous NATO intelligence sources have said that Iran is boosting arms sales to Russia. Deliveries include two kinds of surface-to-surface missiles and attack drones. Iran has been selling arms to Russia since August 2022. The short-range ballistic mi...
The latest polls show a decrease in the distance between Lula and Bolsonaro, the government issued early payments of the Truck Driver Aid and Taxi Driver Aid, and Lula will be interviewed on a podcast tonight and Bolsonaro holds rallies
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Oct 2022
Two polls on the presidential election were published yesterday, showing a reduction in the distance between Lula and Bolsonaro in the runoff round. The government continues in its effort to produce positive news. The Caixa Econômica Federal issued early payments of the Truck Driver Aid and Taxi ...
Three lost years and still lost
CHILE · In Brief · 18 Oct 2022
Today marks the third anniversary of Chile’s social explosion. Much has happened since and because of the October uprising: the rise of inflation, a failed constitutional process, the election of Gabriel Boric. Sadly, the demands that the protests brought to the fore are far from being addressed,...
Castillo’s last dance; real GDP slows to 1.5% in H2; BCRP projected to end hiking cycle at 7.5%
PERU · Report · 18 Oct 2022 · 1 response
In this report, we focus on three key topics. First, we discuss the implications for President Pedro Castillo of the decision by the Ministerio Público Fiscalía de la Nación to submit to Congress a constitutional complaint against Castillo for “leading a criminal organization.” Second, we argue t...
Saudi Arabia: Bond issuance and buyback
GULF COUNTRIES · In Brief · 18 Oct 2022
Today the Kingdom announced plans to issue a 6-year sukuk and a 10-year bond, its first dollar issuances in nearly a year, targeting about $3.5-4bn, as well as buying back bonds that mature over the next four years. The buyback tender was announced for the four Eurobonds that mature in 2023-6, wh...
Economics: Mexico benefitting from nearshoring trend but must take action to sustain FDI inflows long term
MEXICO · Report · 18 Oct 2022
Federal officials have been boasting of the very high Foreign Direct Investment results for the first half of 2022. In contrast to gross fixed capital formation, which as of July was running 10% below 2018 levels, through the first half of 2022 FDI inflows were there highest since 2013. While ...
Standard & Poor's issues positive annual Jamaica report as Bank of Jamaica continues to tighten local monetary policy
JAMAICA / BAHAMAS · Report · 17 Oct 2022
On October 5, rating agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) issued its annual report on the Jamaican economy. In summary, the agency expects the country's economic recovery to continue, supported particularly by tourism. It expects Jamaica to continue to run a small fiscal surplus in the current fiscal y...