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Still growing, amid inflation-fighting and great uncertainty
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · Report · 18 Jul 2022 · 1 response

The Dominican economy continues to grow, although at a slower monthly rate. In January-May 2022, the economy grew 5.6%, compared to the same period of 2021. But projections indicate that 2022 growth will end up at 5%, or possibly even less, at closer to 4.3%. For H2 2022, a significant growth slo...

Bolsonaro will meet with ambassadors to discuss the electronic voting machines, Lula is trying to gain support from the agribusiness and business sectors, and party conventions begin on Wednesday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Jul 2022

President Jair Bolsonaro's idea is to present data that he believes shows the fragility of the electronic voting machines in the country. The presidents of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) and the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) will not participate. Afterward, Bolsonaro will hold an event for his ...

Inflation in line with expectations as rental prices accelerate
ISRAEL · Report · 18 Jul 2022

1. June’s CPI (in line with consensus) reflects increased service price inflation, especially in housing rental prices. 2. Core inflation accelerated to 4.1% y/y in June, up from 3.65% last month. 3. Trade data reflect expansion in both exports and imports as economic activity remains fairly st...

Zelenskiy removes the Head of Secret Service and Chief Prosecutor
UKRAINE · In Brief · 18 Jul 2022

Yesterday, late in the night President Volodymyr Zelenskiy informed that he removed the Head of Secret Bureau of Ukraine (SBU) Ivan Bakanov and the Chief Prosecutor Iryna Venediktova. In the case of Bakanov, the formal reasoning for his displacement were the failures defending the South from Russ...

Inflation in line with expectations as rental prices accelerate
ISRAEL · In Brief · 17 Jul 2022

Inflation: June’s CPI was in line with consensus  * Inflation increased by 0.4% and by 4.4% y/y (up from 4.1% in May).  * Core inflation accelerated to 4.1% from 3.65%, as housing rental prices (OER) increased by 4.1% y/y from 3.4%.  * Inflation is more broad-based, and more concentrated in price...

Long holiday, short update
TURKEY · Report · 17 Jul 2022 · 1 response

Having covered much of the recent developments in our Monthly (of July 8, 2022), we provide a brief update in this post-Eid Weekly Tracker. On the politics side, the two most important developments, which may sound obscure and trite to our readership -- and, in that order -- are the accelerati...

Western countries mulling more sanctions on Russia
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 16 Jul 2022

On July 16 the US Treasury Secretary said her meeting with 19 other finance ministers were productive. They discussed putting a cap on the price they will pay for Russian oil. However, not all 20 countries agree on a solution. No formal communique has been issued by the G20: the Indonesians issue...

Russian missile strikes on Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 16 Jul 2022

On July 14 a Russian missile hit Vinnytsia and killed 23 people. Ukraine says they were civilians. Russia says it attacked that building because it was hosting a military meeting. Zelensky said the attack was ''terrorism''. On July 15 missiles struck a university in Mykolaiv. The Russian military...

Russian Macro: Adjusting to a new reality
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · Report · 15 Jul 2022

As time goes by, trade relations between Russia and the EU that used to be Russia's major trade partner are shrinking. Sanctions on Russia gradually kept evolving into something which Iran had experienced for decades, keeping its economy alive, albeit in a rather peculiar fashion. At this stage, ...

Russia: a brief market watch
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 15 Jul 2022

Despite the ongoing easing of capital controls, USD and EUR remain toxic in the eyes of domestic investors and corporates. As a result, despite decreased oil prices and verbal interventions by the authorities aimed at weakening the Russian currency, the ruble remains strong. The government has el...

Webinar Replay: Argentina's economic outlook after Guzmán's resignation
ARGENTINA · Report · 15 Jul 2022

What impact will Silvina Batakis have on the IMF agreement? Is Argentina veering towards a new debt restructuring? What are the fundamentals of President Fernández's "growth crisis"? Visit our calendar page to watch the replay of our webinar featuring Esteban Fernández Medrano discussing the imp...

GULF WEEKLY: Saudi opens airspace to Israel, oil touches post-Ukraine low, Libyan oil blockade may end
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 15 Jul 2022 · 1 response

A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * Oil briefly fell to $94 on Thursday, its lowest since the invasion of Ukraine, amidst recession fears. * OPEC sees 2023 demand rising to 103m b/d (and 105.4m in Q4), well ahead of the IEA forecast. * Libya’s oil blockade ...

The PEC on Fuels was enacted, Congress reviewed presidential vetoes, Congress will enter recess today, and the party convention period begins next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Jul 2022

President Jair Bolsonaro participated in the session that enacted the PEC. In a direct message to women, Bolsonaro stressed that 2/3 of Auxílio Brasil payments are going toward women. The government expects the benefits to begin in August. One of the presidential vetoes that was reviewed provided...

Inflation acceleration supports front loading rate tightening
ISRAEL · In Brief · 15 Jul 2022

June’s CPI in line with market expectations Inflation in June increased by 0.4% m/m (4.4% y/y, up from 4.1% last month), in line with market expectations, while we were expecting a slightly higher print of 0.5%. Inflation in June was impacted by an 8.6% hike in petrol prices, a 22.6% increase in ...

Xi Jinping’s Visit to Hong Kong
CHINA ADVISORY · Report · 14 Jul 2022

Xi Jinping’s chose Hong Kong as his first trip out of the mainland in two years as a symbol of global power and an expression of support for the incoming Chief Executive. His comments, along with other recent events, provide some clues to how China intends to govern Hong Kong. We can conclude tha...

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