TURKEY - Report 05 Jun 2013

Turkey is going through an extraordinary upheaval of-- so far-- peaceful nature. Organized and galvanized by social media, the "modernist" face of Turkey is on the streets. Even though some steps by AKP reveal a softening of attitude, there is no sign that the party is ready to abandon any of its...

BRAZIL ECONOMICS - Report 04 Jun 2013

After accounting for seasonal factors, industrial output rose 1.8% in April, or 8.4% in relation to the same month in 2012 (Graph 1). There were substantial increases in vehicles (8.2%); machinery and equipment (7.9%); and foods (4,8%), and the result for the month was very diffused, covering a l...

MEXICO - Report 04 Jun 2013

Last week, President Enrique Peña Nieto called for a national accord to promote productivity. According to government data, productivity is off by 0.7% compared to a year earlier. The president announced that he had ordered the creation of a consultative body, the National Committee on Productivi...

MEXICO - Report 04 Jun 2013

The Pact for Mexico's trajectory and legislative calendar were effectively re-written by the National Action Party (PAN) decision to denounce in April illegal efforts by federal and state officials to buy votes and sustain a clandestine election campaign system. The initial result was an addendum...

TURKEY - Report 03 Jun 2013

In May, consumer prices rose by a lower than expected 0.15%, versus market expectations of around 0.4%, thanks to a somewhat deeper drop in food prices and a softer increase in transportation prices (Table 1). But because of last year's low base, the 12-month CPI inflation nevertheless edged up t...

BRAZIL ECONOMICS - Report 03 Jun 2013

In assessing the reasons for the weak GDP performance in the first quarter, two points stand out. The first is the fall in the contribution of household consumption, which grew only 0.1%, and the second is the slower growth of GDP in the service sector, largely determined by the stagnation of fin...

TURKEY - Report 02 Jun 2013

We had predicted a scorching hot summer in Friday's Monthly Report, which proved prescient.AKP's shortsightedness and atrocious police brutality turned a sit-in by 50 tree huggers to rescue the trees in Gezi Park (Taksim Square Promenade) into a nation-wide outburst. The self-imposed coverage ban...

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - In Brief 24 May 2013

Yesterday, the Central Bank released its first quarterly report for 2013. The figures are staggering. Compared to the 1Q-2012, GDP growth was 0.3%, the lowest in almost 10 years (we forecasted 1%). Local manufacturing activity dropped by 3.7%, construction by 2.9%, and commerce by 2.6%. Agricultu...

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - In Brief 13 May 2013

Last week, the governmentof the Dominican Republic and Barrick Gold Corp. announced that they reached apreliminary agreement in order to change the terms of their 2009 contract forthe exploitation of the gold mine in Pueblo Viejo. The new contract will significantly improvethe government’s cash f...

CHILE - In Brief 22 Apr 2013

Some days ago, a local bank’s report raised some doubts regarding the way in which the prices of some goods have being collected by the National Office of Statistics (INE). In particular, the report indicated that the evolution of some prices has been underestimated due to methodological failures...

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - In Brief 12 Apr 2013

Yesterday, the government of the Dominican Republic announced that it successfully placed USD 1 bn in Sovereign Bonds. The interest rate negotiated was 5.875% on bonds with 10 years maturity. This has been the lowest rate negotiated by the DR since its first Sovereign Bonds issued in September 20...

RUSSIA ENERGY / FINANCE - In Brief 02 Apr 2013

Rosstat, a statistical agency, reported GDP figures for 4Q-12 in its second estimate. Russian economy slowed down to 2.1% y-o-y in 4Q-12 (compared to 3.0% in 3Q-12), according to the figures that were published today. Household consumption that expanded 5.8% y-o-y in stays the major contributor t...

CHILE - In Brief 26 Mar 2013 2 responses

Minister of Finance of Chile Felipe Larrain announced today that the Executive will send a bill to Congress that reduce the stamp and duty tax on credit from 0.4% to 0.2%. The reduction in this tax (imposed on loans) is likely to generate more fears of overheating of the Chilean economy. Moreover...

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - In Brief 20 Mar 2013

Good news from the revenues side: during the first two months of the year, tax revenues were above target. Authorities reported a 108% accomplishment. Revenues totaled DOP 46.7 bn, 26.1% more than the first two months of last year. That was clearly the result of the recently approved tax reform a...

CHILE - In Brief 11 Mar 2013

President Sebastian Piñera announced yesterday that he will send a bill to Congress that gives a one-time special bonus to low and middle-income families. The bonus would benefit more than 2 million families (300,000 more families than those considered in the bonus implemented to face the global ...