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UPCOMING WEBINAR - CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA: ECONOMIC UPSWINGS AND POL...

Kyrgyzstan elects interim president
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 04 Nov 2020

On November 4 Talant Mantyov was elected Speaker of Parliament. The Speaker succeeds the president when a vacancy arises. President Japarov took power only two weeks ago. He is prime minister as well as president at the same time! An election is due on 10 January 2021 and Japarov is running. Japa...

Russian recovery stalling
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 04 Nov 2020

The Central Bank of Russia issued a report stating that the recovery has stopped. The government's response to the economic crises has ended just as coronavirus has rebounded. In Q2 and Q3 2020 the economy exceeded expectations. The CBR raised its predictions for the year. The economy is due to c...

Russian taxes to rise
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 04 Nov 2020

On November 2 the VTimes published a claim that the government's plans to raise taxes for those who make over USD 63,000 a year to 15% is the start of tax rises for middle and low income people. Taxes rises will follow in 2024. Progressive tax is popular. 79% of people oppose the current flat tax...

Belarus general strike failing
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 03 Nov 2020

On November 2 over 1000 pensioners marched in Minsk. Many carried the red and white flag which was the national flag of Belarus in the early 90s. On November 1 a march resulted in 231 arrests. Men who are arrested are often beaten with batons on the thighs so their injuries will not be so visible...

Fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 03 Nov 2020

On November 2, Armenia said that 11 of its soldiers were killed in fighting. The ceasefire is more honored in the breach than in the observance. On November 2, Azerbaijan claimed to have taken back 8 more villages in Nagorno Karabakh and accused the Armenians of shelling civilians. President Aliy...

Nagorno-Karabakh & Transcaucasia: Recent dynamics
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 02 Nov 2020

October 2020 saw the heaviest fighting between Azerbaijan and Armenia since 1994. This conflict has threatened to draw in several adjacent countries. In this report, we provide background on the conflict and examine its most recent geopolitical dynamics, including the Turkish dimension, and give ...

Zelensky and Constitutional Court row over anti-corruption
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 02 Nov 2020

On October 30 President Zelensky crossed swords with the Constitutional Court when it nullified anti-corruption laws and limited the authority of the National Anti-Corruption Agency (NAZK). Zelensky asked the Rada to annul the court's judgment.The court said that the penalty for making false stat...

Moldova run-off election
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 02 Nov 2020

On November 1 a presidential election was held. No candidate won over 50% of the vote. The top two candidates now go to a second round. The lower placed candidates are eliminated. The second round will be on November 15.President Dodon is pro-Russian. The challenger Maia Sandy is pro-EU. Sandu wo...

Election disputed in Georgia
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 01 Nov 2020

On October 31 a parliamentary election was held and the ruling Georgian Dream Party claimed victory. The opposition parties reject this claim. Georgian Dream got 48% of the vote. Its main rival the United National Movement won 27%. The Alliance of Patriots (which is pro Russian) won 3%. Observers...

Tajik President reinaugurated
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 01 Nov 2020

On October 30 President Rahmon was sworn in for his 5th term in Tajikistan. He has been in office since 2002. The president pardoned 378 prisoners. Four loyalists ran against Rahmon who won over 80% of the vote. Rahmon is 68% and in poor health. His son Rustam, 32, is being groomed to succeed. Ru...

MegaFon starts project to provide satellite data access
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 31 Oct 2020

MegaFon wants to allow people on the ground to access data from low Earth orbiting satellites. MegaFon will invest USD 76 million between now and 2022 in researching new tech. MegaFon 1440 will be set up. That will be an R and D company. The objective is to allow high speed access to data from sp...

Sberbank buying Rambler
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 29 Oct 2020

On October 29 it was announced that Sberbank will buy Rambler Group. Rambler is an internet and media holding company. Many email addresses in Russia are called "@rambler.ru"Sber invested in Rambler in 2019. It bought 47% of the company for about USD 125 million: the figure is secret.In July 2020...

Calvey civil case ends in a USD 32 million payout
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 29 Oct 2020

Michael Calvey, an American investor in Moscow, has been detained for 18 months. The founder of Baring Vostok was accused of embezzlement. It relates to the ownership of Vostochny Bank. Calvey is under house arrest.The Russian business and banking community said the case has had a very deleteriou...

Ruling party in Ukraine does poorly in local elections
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 29 Oct 2020

On October 25 Servant of the People lost the local elections. Servant of the People is a party only founded in 2018. It is the party of President Zelensky. His and the party's ratings have tumbled since he took office in May 2019.A party called European Solidarity has made a small comeback. This ...

Russia allows travel to and from more countries
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 29 Oct 2020

On October 29 Moscow announced an easing of travel restrictions.There are already flights to over 10 countries. From November 1 there will be flights to Japan, Serbia and Cuba. The government does not look like it is bringing in another lockdown.Citizens and residents of the countries that Russia...