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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Jul 11
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Brazil Economics databank Jun 16
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Central America databank Jun 27
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Chile databank May 27
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Jul 7
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Dominican Republic databank Jun 18
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Ecuador databank Jun 20
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Gulf Countries databank Jul 11
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Hungary databank Jun 23
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India databank Jun 26
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Mexico databank Jul 1
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Jun 27
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Philippines databank Jul 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank Jul 11
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South Africa databank Jul 11
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank Jul 7
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA: POLITICAL PASSIONS IN THE...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
The MNB said it will likely narrow the interest rate corridor next Tuesday
HUNGARY · In Brief · 19 Apr 2023 · 1 response
MNB Vice governor Virág was quoted by the local press this morning as essentially giving away the decision he expects from the Monetary Council's next rate-setting meeting due next Tuesday (April 25). He said that the conditions appear to be right for the Council to narrow the Bank's interest rat...
Russian Foreign Minister in Latin America
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 19 Apr 2023
On April 18 Sergei Lavrov said that countries that oppose Western domination should oppose its sanctions. He denounced ''Western blackmail''. Lavrov is in Venezuela. He visited Brazil and will go on to Nicaragua and Cuba. Venezuela and Russia have a close relationship but the country nevertheless...
The board of directors of GB Group Corporation (Global Bank's full owner) decided to buy the shares of Ricardo Martinelli, his family, and their companies for not meeting the criteria of "moral solvency"
PANAMA · In Brief · 18 Apr 2023
Summary of facts and implications of Martinelli´s exit as shareholder of Global Bank, S.A. On March 28, 2023, the Superintendency of Banks of Panama (SBP) issued the Agreement 002-2023 which established that banking entities “must guarantee that shareholders and senior management maintain an exce...
Political arrangements for the 2024 elections being defined, amid economic uncertainty
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · Report · 18 Apr 2023
Although economic activity growth in February 2023 (at 1.8% y/y) was higher than in January 2023 (at 0.4% y/y), the economy has undoubtedly entered a path of lower growth, which may intensify if international economic conditions deteriorate. Even the authorities have recognized the possibility of...
Will this year’s “consumption revival” disappoint?
CHINA FINANCIAL · Report · 18 Apr 2023
Special points to highlight in this issue: * GDP in the first quarter of 2023 grew a better-than-expected 4.5 percent year on year, or 2.2 percent month on month. While we have almost certainly seen some rebalancing in the month of March, with consumption growing faster than GDP, it is still ...
Boluarte holds on; economy to recover gradually; BCRP’s first rate cut delayed to June
PERU · Report · 18 Apr 2023 · 2 responses
In this report, we offer an update on politics, the economy and the markets. We argue that the government of President Dina Boluarte has gained stability, and that Boluarte has improved her chances of staying in office until the scheduled July 2026 end of her term. On the economy, we argue that e...
The new fiscal framework may be submitted to Congress today or tomorrow, Congress should analyze presidential vetoes today, and the STF analyzes the accusations against 100 January 8 attack participants
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Apr 2023 · 1 response
The new fiscal framework is expected to be submitted to the National Congress today or tomorrow. It is important to note that the new framework will be submitted as a supplementary bill. To be approved, it needs the support of an absolute majority in both houses of Congress. Today, a session of t...
Russia jails anti-war opposition politician for 25 years
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 18 Apr 2023
On April 17 Vladimir Kara-Murza was sentenced for disseminating disinformation and belonging to an undesirable organization. Kara-Murza, 41, was educated at Cambridge University. He is a dual British-Russian citizen. He returned to Moscow in 2022 despite knowing he faced charges. He had gone to t...
China Q1 2023 GDP – structural weakness
CHINA ADVISORY · Report · 18 Apr 2023
Some quick comments about the Q1 2023 numbers: The headline numbers were stronger than expected. GDP growth was 4.5% compared with a consensus 4%. Retail sales were 10.6% compared with 7.5%. On the industrial side, one positive number that jumped out was that apparent oil demand rose 9.5%. ...
Stable growth in 1Q23
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 18 Apr 2023
Kazakhstan’s Bureau of National Statistics reported that in 1Q23, the economy continued to expand at a decent pace. The short-term indicator grew in 1Q23 by 5.1% y-o-y. This indicator is a monthly measure of economic activity, which includes the six most important sectors that cover 60% of the co...
Economics: Strong indicators during 1Q23, but with multiple factors that could heighten country risk
MEXICO · Report · 17 Apr 2023
Economic activity in Mexico began the year with a stronger-than-expected rebound from late 2022 as January data showed private consumption had risen an annual 5.9% at the same time as Gross Fixed Capital Formation jumped 7.1%. The services sector (6.5%) was a major driver. But the impressive ...
Caution Is in Order Regarding Cutting the Interest Rate
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 17 Apr 2023
Last week, bets grew about an early start of the monetary easing cycle, before the end of the second quarter. The optimism was not due to the quality of the fiscal framework announced by the government, but rather to the deceleration of the 12-month rate of the IPCA to 4.6% (5.6% a month ago). In...
The Ministry of Finance in the next 100 days and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Apr 2023
The government should finally submit the new fiscal framework to Congress. Proposals aimed at increasing revenue should also be submitted, as well as the new framework for PPPs. Congress reviews presidential vetoes. The holiday on Friday, April 21, reduces legislative activity. This week's Tal...
Politics: Poll shows success of the fight against Plan B, which suffers setbacks as new INE councilors assume their posts
MEXICO · Report · 17 Apr 2023
One of the most significant aspects of the latest GEA-ISA quarterly survey of registered voters was that it showed the extent to which the efforts of the INE under former Institute President Lorenzo Cordova, civic organizations and opposition parties have succeeded in winning over the vast majori...
Tebet and Bijos discuss the PLDO today, the STF should announce the result of the ICMS tax credits case on Wednesday, April 19, and there is a federal holiday on Friday, April 21
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Apr 2023
Today the Minister of Planning and Budget, Simone Tebet, and the Federal Budget Secretary, Paulo Bijos, will hold a press conference to present and explain the figures of the Budgetary Guidelines Bill (PLDO) for 2024, submitted on Friday, April 14, to the National Congress. On Wednesday, April 19...