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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Apr 30
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Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Apr 28
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 2
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank Mar 25
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Panama databank Jan 28
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank Apr 11
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank Mar 6
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - PANAMA IN FOCUS: US RELATIONS, CANAL STRATEGY AND FI...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Biden recognises the Armenian Genocide
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 25 Apr 2021
On April 24 the US President stated that the mass slaying of Armenians in the First World War was genocide. The killing was committed by the Ottoman Empire, which is the predecessor of Turkey.Armenia is a former Soviet country and is more in Russia's orbit than any other former Soviet republic. Y...
Russian interest raised in bid to curb inflation
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 24 Apr 2021
On April 23 the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) raised the interest rate to 5%. It was 4.5%. This is the second rise since March. Inflation is jeopardizing economic recovery. Inflation is up to 5.8% and the CBR's goal is to keep it under 4%.The government has introduced price controls for particular...
Russia loosens entry requirements for foreigners
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 24 Apr 2021
On April 19 Moscow announced the relaxation of rules for foreign citizens visiting the country including Britons. People from 29 countries can come to Russia either directly or via one of the other 29 nations.The 29 nations include Switzerland, Finland, Germany, the UAE, various former Soviet cou...
Russia pulls troops back from Ukrainian Border
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 23 Apr 2021
On April 22 Russia announced that it was sending soldiers back to their bases after exercises along the frontier. This included exercises in Crimea. The return to base shall be completed by May 1. The buildup caused widespread condemnation.There had been an uptick in firing across the ceasefire l...
Exame/Ideia Big Data poll: Presidential succession is polarized between Bolsonaro and Lula, but there is room for a third candidate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Apr 2021
According to three scenarios tested by the Exame/Ideia Big Data poll, the presidential election of 2022 is polarized between President Jair Bolsonaro and former President Lula (PT). It is important to note that the three possible PSDB candidates – Governors João Doria (SP) and Eduardo Leite (RS)...
The CBR has chosen to accelerate rate hikes
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 23 Apr 2021
The CBR raised the key by 50 bps to 5.0% and explained it by the need to contain inflation expectations, which according to the CBR, remain elevated. The regulator also mentioned that the domestic economy is recovering faster than was anticipated - on the back of strengthening domestic demand to ...
Russia says there is progress on reunification with Belarus
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 23 Apr 2021
On April 22 Putin announced that there has been headway on the goal of Russia and Belarus reuniting. Lukashenka confirmed this. Lukashenka had been in Moscow for talks.Legilsation shall be forthcoming. Lukashenka said he is about to make the most consequential announcement of his presidency. Oppo...
GULF WEEKLY: Covid wave eases, JCPOA negotiations progress and Saudi-Iran talks take place
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 23 Apr 2021
A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * US-Iran talks seem to be making good progress after the US clarified sanctions it could lift. * Secret Saudi-Iran talks were mediated by Iraq, focusing on Yemen and Lebanon. * The latest coronavirus wave in the region may...
2021 Budget published, and the STF confirmed Sergio Moro's partiality in Lula's cases in Curitiba
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Apr 2021
As expected, the 2021 Federal Budget was published with vetoes in the Official Gazette today for a total of R$ 19.8 billion. In an agreement with Congress, President Bolsonaro blocked R$ 9.2 billion in funds for some ministries in order to approve expenses beyond the spending ceiling. Yester...
Czech-Russian row intensifies
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 23 Apr 2021
On April 22 Prague said it shall place a limit on the number of people allowed to work at the Russian Embassy. Russia must reduce staff numbers to the same number of people the Czechs are allowed in the Moscow. The deadline is May 31.Moscow has vowed to respond in the same manner.The Czechs have ...
The President is expected to sanction the budget today, and the Supreme Court to rule on jurisdictions in Lula's cases
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Apr 2021
Today is the last day for President Bolsonaro to sanction the 2021 Federal Budget. An agreement was reached with Congress earlier this week to approve some expenses beyond the spending ceiling, such as health expenses and investment programs for the private sector. The Budget is expected to be s...
It is geo-politics, stupid
TURKEY · In Brief · 22 Apr 2021
As I write these lines, dollar/TL had already skyrocketed to 8.28-30, and I’m willing to bet that short of a miracle the parity shall continue to climb through Friday evening. As Cosmo warned our readership in the last Weekly Tracker, Turkish markets are now marching to the drumbeat of political ...
Putin's annual address announces welfare payments and warns the West
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 21 Apr 2021
On April 21 the president spoke to the nation in his annual address. Putin claimed that Russia and Belarus foiled a dastardly plot to assassinate Lukashenka. He warned any would-be aggressors that vengeance shall be swift and decisive.The president recognized that cost of living is the Number 1 c...
Russia expels Czech diplomats
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 20 Apr 2021
On April 19 Moscow expelled 20 Czech diplomats in reprisal for the Czechs' expelling 18 Russian diplomats. It is notable that the Russians expelled more people than the Czechs did. The Czech Embassy in Moscow now has so few diplomats that is almost unmanageable. The Czechs also have two consulate...
Russia investigating YouTube for abusing market dominance
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 20 Apr 2021
On April 19 the government stated that it was looking into YouTube's biased decision making and comment editing. Russia is hemming in foreign social media platforms. The Federal Anti-Monopoly Service (FAMS) is the agency investigating YouTube's policy of closing down channels that are allegedly p...