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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Apr 30
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Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Apr 28
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 2
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank Mar 25
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Panama databank Jan 28
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank Apr 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank Apr 11
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South Africa databank Apr 7
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank Mar 6
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Venezuela databank Apr 24
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - PANAMA IN FOCUS: US RELATIONS, CANAL STRATEGY AND FI...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Messrs. Lutfi Elvan and Naci Agbal: The art of the feasible
TURKEY · In Brief · 11 Nov 2020 · 3 responses
I’ve remained silent after the appointment of Mr. Naci Agbal to CBRT and the replacement of Berat Albayrak with Mr. Lutfi Elvan, because I waited for the second shoe to drop. My job is politics, which remains pregnant with the aftershocks of these two events. Politics is the art of feasible, and ...
Armenian PM under severe pressure to resign
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 10 Nov 2020
On November 10 Armenia awoke to news of a ceasefire guaranteed by Russian troops. Armenia was occupying 13% of Azerbaijan in September. That is now down to 3%. Armenia has suffered a major defeat. Only Russian intervention prevented it from being a total rout. Furious protesters stormed the Armen...
Belarus expels 2 UK diplomats
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 10 Nov 2020
On November 9 Minsk kicked out British diplomats who had been observing demonstrations. Belarus said the Britons had been taking part in ''destructive activities''. The United Kingdom responded by declaring two Belarussian diplomats personae non gratae.
Government backs down from proposed 2021 tax hike
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · Forecast · 10 Nov 2020
October saw the reversal of some government decisions, due both to rejection by citizens and to the occurrence of obvious errors, forcing a search for alternatives. A few days after the proposed 2021 budget was sent to Congress, the government announced that it was withdrawing from the proposal’s...
A constitutional crisis looms
UKRAINE · Report · 10 Nov 2020
Ukraine has entered a very turbulent period of its modern history. A ruling by the Constitutional Court to void the requirement for e-declarations has unfolded into a full-fledged constitutional crisis without any clear legal way out. Legal experts consider the Court’s ruling itself illegal, and ...
Lower for longer for sure
COLOMBIA · Report · 10 Nov 2020 · 1 response
The Central Bank was quick to act during the first days of the COVID lockdown, so Colombia took the lead in implementing one of the region’s first QE programs to prop up financial sector liquidity. The Bank was also instrumental in negotiating FCL enlargement with the IMF. Between March and Septe...
Unsurprising heavy disinflation reported for October
HUNGARY · In Brief · 10 Nov 2020
This morning's statement by KSH (Central Statistical Office) revealed another marked drop by the yoy rate of CPI-inflation in October, to 3% from September's 3.4%. To a great extent, the reason was a significant base effect, as the monthly rate fell to 0.2% from last October's outstandingly high ...
Again, double-digit GDP contraction
PHILIPPINES · In Brief · 10 Nov 2020
3Q GDP fell 11.5% yoy, “unsurprising” per the planning secretary given health and public transportation constraints that kept economic activity far below limits set by government. Were it not for the sizeable shrinkage in the external trade deficit, domestic demand alone would have dragged growth...
Russian peacekeepers to enforce ceasefire between Armenia and Azerbaijan
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 10 Nov 2020
At 01:00 local time on November 10 Azerbaijan and Armenia signed an immediate ceasefire brokered by Russia. The current frontline is the ceasefire line therefore Azerabaijan shall retain land gained since September 27.2000 Russian peacekeepers will go to Nagorno Karabakh and be deployed for 5 yea...
Moscow stock market jumps
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 10 Nov 2020
On November 9 shares on the Russian Bourse jumped as did the RUB. That is due to good news about a coroanvirus vaccine. Pfizer and BioNTech said their vaccine is in Phase 3 trials and it is 90% effective. A heartening report was published. The RUB leapt 2% against the USD and reached 76. That is ...
President Vizcarra is ousted
PERU · In Brief · 09 Nov 2020 · 2 responses
After a tense impeachment process that started on the morning of November 9, Congress voted by 105 votes, 19 against and 4 abstained, to oust President Martin Vizcarra. President Vizcarra was investigated by the Attorney General Office for corruption while he was Moquegua’s Governor, a small Stat...
Politics: A tall order for the new public security head
MEXICO · Report · 09 Nov 2020
With Alfonso Durazo’s departure from the Ministry of Public Security and Citizen Protection (SSPC) to run for governor of his home state, the first chapter of President López Obrador’s security policy has come to an end. But the next chapter may well prove as ineffective as Durazo’s tenure, in wh...
Recovery of Industry: Domestic Production and Imports
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 09 Nov 2020
Brazil’s industrial output grew in September and is 2% above the level observed in December 2016, an average increase of 0.6% per year in the period. It was the fifth consecutive month of expansion, and unlike many countries, Brazil has already recouped the loss accrued in March and April. But is...
Bolsonaro's Brazil in the Biden era and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Nov 2020
This is the final week of the electoral campaign ahead of the municipal election, which will take place on November 15. For this reason, there will be no legislative activity in Congress this week. Congress’s decision on the extension of payroll tax exemptions should be published in the Official ...
Some thoughts on the last 48 hours
TURKEY · Report · 09 Nov 2020
We have witnessed dramatic changes in economic management over the past 48 hours or so, with the replacement of CBRT Governor Murat Uysal by the former Finance Minister Naci Agbal, followed up by the very strangely executed resignation of the Treasury and Finance Minister Berat Albayrak. At the t...